This leaves portfolios exposed to significant risk and investors need to act now to protect and enhance value. That’s why PRI have launched this project, to provide investors with a realistic forecasting tool to help navigate this complex and evolving landscape.
As the realities of climate change become increasingly apparent, it is inevitable that governments will be forced to act more decisively than they have so far. The question for investors now is not if governments will act, but when they will do so, what policies they will use and where ...Find out more
The Forecast Policy Scenario (FPS), introduced in this report, models the impact of the forecasted policies on the real economy up to 2050, tracing detailed effects on all emitting sectors, including changes to energy demand (oil, gas, coal), transport, food prices, crop yields, and rates of deforestation. It also provides ...Find out more
Markets today lack a strong basis for pricing climate transition risk, and do not seem to have priced in a forceful policy response to climate change within the near-term. But our policy forecast shows this to be a highly likely outcome, leaving portfolios exposed to significant risk.Find out more
Climate change poses a systemic risk to institutional investors. All portfolios are exposed to it, yet the impacts will be uneven across asset classes, sectors and geographies.
Falling renewable electricity costs play an important part of “why” a policy response is likely to occur. And the arrival at new tipping points within sectors and countries over the next decade informs “when” this response is likely to materialise.
The concept of a just transition has emerged as a key pillar of climate strategy; it is crucial to understanding ‘where’ the impact of policies will be felt and ‘what’ policies will be used.
Business and investor support for action play an important part of “why” this policy response is likely to emerge over the next 6 years. These give an economic and market mandate to policy makers for action.