IPR scenarios are designed to provide a market view around which financial institutions can base their central expectations. IPR is driven by a detailed assessment of likely policy trajectories in the short and long term, grounded in transparent views on major policy areas across all major countries/regions.
The most extensive set of publicly available scenarios and underlying investor value drivers. This enables financial institutions to assess the risks and opportunities across the major sectors impacted by climate transition.
It also enables financial institutions to assess with greater granularity decisions about climate risk management and net zero alignment.
Energy, systems and land use
Apart from energy systems much of the detailed scenario analysis is related to food and land-use systems. IPR looks at the land-use related transition more thoroughly than other scenarios, including the extent of possible dietary shifts, the development of bioenergy, and the emergence of nature-based solutions (NBS).
By providing both the Forecast Policy Scenario (FPS), our most likely scenario and the Required Policy Scenario (RPS) our 1.5-degree scenario, IPR enables financial institutions to consistently assess:
“This is a flagship project for the PRI, I urge all signatories to assess the implications of the Inevitable Policy Response for their portfolios and act now to protect and enhance value”- Fiona Reynolds, CEO, PRI
Building on the October 2021 IPR 1.8C Forecast Policy Scenario ( FPS ) and 1.5 degree Required Policy Scenario ( RPS) policy suite, in 2022 IPR is issuing Quarterly Forecast Trackers (QFTs) assessing climate policy, technology and land use developments and acceleration or deceleration in policy ambition against these 2021 IPR scenarios.
2022-04-27T05:00:00+01:00
Building on the October 2021 IPR 1.8C Forecast Policy Scenario (FPS) and 1.5 degree Required Policy Scenario (RPS) policy suite, in 2022 IPR is issuing Quarterly Forecast Trackers (QFTs) assessing climate policy, technology and land use developments and acceleration or deceleration in policy ambition against these 2021 IPR scenarios.
2022-04-27T05:00:00+01:00
This first QFT update covers the period from October 2021 (when the 2021 FPS 1.8°C FPS and 1.5°C RPS was released, pre-COP 26) to mid-April 2022
2019-09-08T22:03:00+01:00
Financial markets today have not adequately priced-in the likely near-term policy response to climate change. The Inevitable Policy Response (IPR) is a pioneering project which aims to prepare investors for the associated portfolio risks.
2021-03-17T08:21:00+00:00
The IPR 2021 policy forecast is a thoroughly revised and updated set of policy forecasts, reflecting even further detailed research on current and proposed policies, with input from a global survey of policy experts. This forms the basis for a new Forecast Policy Scenario later in the year.
2021-10-18T05:00:00+01:00
New 2021 Forecast Policy Scenario from IPR shows rapid policy acceleration by 2025 would bring ‘below 2C’ Paris Agreement within reach
2022-04-11T07:15:00+01:00
Professor Nick Robins analyses the growing influence of just transition on climate policy across civil society, business and finance and outlines its emergence as key factor shaping how Inevitable Policy Response (IPR) global forecasts play out on carbon pricing, clean energy, fossil fuel phase down, EVs, agriculture and land use.
2022-03-31T07:12:00+01:00
This short paper by Kaya, a specialist climate policy consultancy, has been commissioned by the Inevitable Policy Response (IPR). It assesses the initial implications for climate policy as a result of Russia’s invasion and war in Ukraine.
2021-12-08T08:00:00+00:00
The Transition Disruption Metric (TDM) is based in the IPR 2021 Forecast Policy Scenario (FPS) scenario developed by IPR
2020-10-26T08:30:00+00:00
As momentum towards net zero rises around the world, this report provides much needed transparency on the importance of land use and the role of Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) in the transition to net zero.
2020-07-02T07:38:00+01:00
Climate change poses a systemic risk to institutional investors. All portfolios are exposed to it, yet the impacts will be uneven across asset classes, sectors and geographies.
2020-06-11T09:00:00+01:00
Investors are not managing existing water risk, let alone taking advantage of upside opportunities through better water-related investment. Forward-looking investors will develop investment channels for sustainable and productive water management and fundamentally re-align how they understand water risks.
2022-03-15T16:15:00+00:00
Clean Energy is not enough to get the world to 1.5C. Mass Reforestation and Linking Agriculture with Carbon Pricing are critical to emissions reduction.
2021-12-15T11:14:00+00:00
Pete Betts, Former Lead Negotiator on Climate for the EU and UK, and Senior Advisor to IPR reflects on the post Glasgow outlook
2021-11-12T11:48:00+00:00
By Mark Fulton, Project Director - Inevitable Policy Response (IPR) & Founder - Energy Transition Advisers
2021-06-24T12:40:00+01:00
By Mark Fulton, Programme Director, Inevitable Policy Response
2021-04-27T14:59:00+01:00
By Mark Fulton, Founder, Energy Transition Advisors and Eric Ling, Engagement Manager, Vivid Economics
2021-04-27T11:30:00+01:00
Fiona Reynolds, CEO, Principles for Responsible Investment
2021-03-30T10:39:00+01:00
By Mark Fulton, founding partner at Energy Transition Advisors, The Inevitable Policy Response Project Lead and Advisor to the PRI
2020-11-18T09:45:00+00:00
By Jason Eis, Executive Director, Vivid Economics, Mark Fulton, Founder, Energy Transition Advisers (ETA), Eric Ling, Engagement Manager, Vivid Economics
2022-04-27T07:48:00+01:00
In the first of a new 2022 quarterly webinar series, IPR, PRI and panellists will review the implications for signatories on the biggest developments each quarter, using the 2021 FPS as a baseline to measure progress.
2021-12-08T07:24:00+00:00
This webinar will see the launch of the Detailed FPS and RPS Energy & Land System Results and Value Drivers for investors. This will be an opportunity for North and South America based signatories to engage on underlying value drivers and investment implications in IPR Forecasts out to 2025 and ...
2021-12-03T20:10:00+00:00
This webinar will explore implications for investors and provide an opportunity for Asia-Pacific based signatories to engage on IPR Forecasts out to 2025 and 2030. Presented by Julian Poulter, IPR Head of Investor Relations with PRI staff and partners.
2021-12-03T07:14:00+00:00
This webinar will explore implications for investors and provide an opportunity for Asia-Pacific based signatories to engage on IPR Forecasts out to 2025 and 2030. Presented by Julian Poulter, IPR Head of Investor Relations with PRI staff and partners.
2021-11-22T13:19:00+00:00
This webinar will provide a deep dive opportunity for UK and EU based signatories to engage on FPS, RPS and investment implications in IPR Forecasts out to 2025 and 2030. Presented by Julian Poulter, IPR Head of Investor Relations with PRI staff and partners.
2021-11-17T11:10:00+00:00
This session will provide investors with an initial presentation of IPR’s newly-launched Policy Scenario reports and highlights. The focus will be on both macro and regional outlooks including energy and land use, providing signatories with opportunities for detailed review of IPR scenarios, value drivers and investment implications.
2021-11-09T11:45:00+00:00
With COP26 as the backdrop, this live from Glasgow webinar will assess the biggest outcomes of Week 1 and what Week 2 holds. Looking ahead to the Emissions Gap, the latest Inevitable Policy Response forecasts will be highlighted as part of the way forward in coming years. Join PRI CEOFiona ...
2021-03-18T14:26:00+00:00
During this webinar the PRI give an update on The Inevitable Policy Response, a pioneering project commissioned by the PRI.
2020-12-02T12:52:00+00:00
The likelihood of a sweeping U.S. climate policy being implemented has increased considerably in recent months. A wide range of proposals has been floated, and the Biden campaign itself laid out a comprehensive plan to tackle carbon emissions and climate resilience through a variety of statutory, regulatory and fiscal approaches.
2020-01-09T12:27:00+00:00
A forceful policy response to climate change within the near term is not priced into today’s markets. Yet it is inevitable that governments will be forced to act more decisively than they have so far, leaving investor portfolios exposed to significant risk.
To better understand how the Inevitable Policy Response could be of use to your and your investment team, please get in touch.
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